W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
15 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Leverkusen 0:1 Union Berlin (Matchday 23). Vertessen 72' (Union). Shock defeat. 71% Possession, 22 shots — aber Union ice-cold on the only real counter. Second home defeat of the season.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Leverkusen 0:1 Union Berlin — Match Statistics:
71.3%
Possession B04
5 : 2
Shots on Target
22 : 5
Total Shots
11 : 1
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Frust nach der überraschenden Heimniederlage. Fan-Stimmung gedämpft — aber Vertrauen in Xabi Alonso ungebrochen. BayArena-Atmosphäre in der Kritik: zu leise bei Rückstand.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Terrier (ACL tear), Hincapié (Thigh — Wednesday training decisive).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 14-6-3, 48 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: L W W D W. Torbilanz: 52:22. Heimtabelle Platz 2. — away position 4..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
Wirtz leaving in summer? Real Madrid according to Marca has prepared an offer of €120M prepared. Leverkusen continues to block. Contract until 2027.
Table
Fixed
07:30
2nd after Matchday 23 — 7 points behind Bayern. Titelverteidigung rechnerisch possible, aber only bei Bayern-Ausrutschern. Mainz as a must-win on Saturday.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Leverkusen HEIM 25/26
Table: 2.
Mainz AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (42 games): Leverkusen 23S 10U 9N, Goals 75:42. First Half: Mainz 1:2 Leverkusen (Matchday 10, 01.12.2025 — Schick 33', Wirtz 78').
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
01.12.25Mainz 1:2 B04SSchick, Wirtz
11.05.25B04 3:0 MainzSWirtz ×2, Adli
08.12.24Mainz 1:1 B04U
24.03.24B04 2:1 MainzSGrimaldo, Boniface
03.11.23Mainz 0:3 B04SWirtz, Schick, Hofmann
Last 5: Leverkusen 4S 1U 0N · 4× in 5 Spielen
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
22
shots vs Union (Liga-Saisonhoch)
52
Saisontore (Liga-Platz 2)
71.3%
Possession vs Union (Saisonhoch)
2.09
Punkte/Spiel
Leverkusen Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 19S 7U 4N, 68:28 Goals (30 games). Nur 3 Losses in 23 Bundesliga-Spielen.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Leverkusen vs Mainz (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Leverkusen
1.55
61.3%
Unentsch.
4.20
22.6%
Mainz
6.00
15.9%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Leverkusen vs Mainz:
| Quelle | Leverkusen | Unentsch. | Mainz | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 59¢ | 23¢ | 20¢ | $530 |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: MID — Polymarket-Volumen $530. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Leverkusen Championship: Polymarket 8¢ YES. CL qualification: 95¢.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
2 Items planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 2 Items planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 1 · 15 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 9 Fixed (60%) · 5 Variable (33%) · 1 Signal (7%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Leverkusen — Union Berlin
Berlin
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · BayArena · 30.210
⚽ Vertessen 72' (Union)
Next Match · Matchday 24
MID
Leverkusen
2. · 48 Pts
14-6-3
vs
Mainz
13. · 22 Pts
5-7-11
🏟 BayArena
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Leverkusen
59¢
Unentsch.
23¢
Mainz
20¢
Volume: $530
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Leverkusen | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 2. | 13. |
| Punkte | 48 | 22 |
| Bilanz | 14-6-3 | 5-7-11 |
| Goals | 52:22 | 26:38 |
| Form (5) | NSSUS | NUNSN |
| Home/Away | H: 2. | A: — |
| Frühquote | 1.55 | 6.00 |
| Wahrsch. | 61.3% | 15.9% |
| Liquidität | MID $530 Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Terrier ACL tear
- Doubtful Hincapié Thigh — Wednesday training decisive
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Xabi Alonso
"Wir hatten 22 shots und verlieren 0:1. Das darf nicht passieren. But so ist Fußball."
DAZN · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Express
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen